Welcome to RuPaul’s Drag Race Power Rankings! Every week, we’re debriefing the week’s new episode of RuPaul’s Drag Race Season 18 to determine which queens are riding high, and which need she-mergency care. With an absolutely unprecedented elimination shaking up the board this week, we’re left to evaluate who remains, and who has a realistic shot at the crown.

5. Jane Don’t (last week: 4)—ELIMINATED

Well, shit! If Suzie Toot’s elimination was a shocker last season, this is an absolute jaw-dropper. At least with Suzie, you could see the seeds being planted: she didn’t get critiques that she probably needed to hear during Snatch Game, and she utterly bombed the Las Vegas challenge. Jane only “faltered” once in the entire competition—during last week’s makeover, when she was given some truly bullshit critiques to justify a low placement—and while she didn’t do great in this challenge, she wasn’t even the worst of the week. And yes, she lost the lip sync, but not by any ridiculous margin that meant she simply had to be sent home, a la Plasma in Season 16.

I can’t help but feel that this elimination is just for the shock factor, to create controversy and draw eyeballs to the show. I try not to be that conspiracy-minded, but what other explanation is there? The only queen who did consistently well this season was sent home on her first bottom two placement, next to a queen on her second with one fewer win and far fewer high placements. Whoever wins this season is going to carry an imaginary asterisk next to their title because of this elimination. It’s that bad of a decision.

4. Nini Coco (last week: 5)

Of course Nini should’ve gone home. And I spent most of this season with Nini as my winner’s pick! But her storyline has completely stalled—the whole thing about getting out of her head from the roast seems to have disappeared entirely—and she has basically no win equity left. There’s no reasonable argument that Nini has more to show in this competition than Jane does. I’ll grant that she did win the lip sync, but it was hardly a blowout. While Nini can dance well, she doesn’t really emote when she lip syncs. That note has been given to Juicy Love Dion quite a bit this season among fans, but I think the “Total Eclipse of the Heart” lip sync alone proves that Juicy is capable. Nini, as far as we’ve seen, really isn’t.

We still don’t know whether we’re getting a top three or four finale (the preview indicates the former, but we’ve seen fakeout eliminations at final four before), so Nini might’ve locked up her spot this week. If not, I’d say the last spot in the final three is a coin flip between her and Juicy. While Nini had the stronger season overall, she’s lost all momentum at the end, as Juicy actually picked hers back up a bit. If Juicy had won this week I’d have said Nini was screwed in a top three scenario. As it stands, I’d give the slight edge on reaching the top to Nini—but it’s far from a certainty, and her position looks a lot worse than it did just a couple of weeks ago.

3. Juicy Love Dion (last week: 3)

Don’t call it a comeback—because, well, it’s not really. Juicy has definitely recovered after a long mid-season slump, scoring in the top last week and avoiding the bottom two this week. But her delayed rise back to the top lacks a big crowning moment to put her over the edge—think Adore Delano’s ball win in Season 6 after a couple of bottom two placements. That third victory secured Adore’s spot in the finale. A win this week for Juicy probably would’ve done the same. Unfortunately, while she was one of the better performers this week, she wasn’t close to being the best.

However, the uncertain nature of this season’s number of finalists means that she may already be in the finale, and we just don’t know it yet. If she does indeed make the finale, it will be on the back of some surprisingly good comedy challenge performances (this Karens one, RDR Live), an undeniable talent show and some terrific lip syncs. Honestly, that’s a pretty good résumé. But because of the order in which those things happened—with all the lip syncs coming in the middle of the season, punctuated by some other low placements—it feels like Juicy is just barely making it over the line at the end. As a result, no matter whether she’s in the finale or not, I don’t think Juicy has a real shot of winning the crown.

2. Darlene Mitchell (last week: 2)

Darlene’s track record actually looks pretty good in a Jane-less finale world—which is, somehow, the world we’re now living in. She’s never landed in the bottom two, only got bad critiques once and has a win and several high placements to her name. She also is seemingly being positioned as Myki Meeks’ rival in these last few weeks, losing out on wins to our new frontrunner. Last week, I thought Myki’s win over Darlene was laughable; this week, I thought the Florida queen won fair and square. Darlene was committed to the character, but the character wasn’t really a Karen. Loved her piss runway, though.

The question in my mind is: can Darlene win? She’d be an unusual champion for sure, having mostly disappeared from the edit for much of the early season. She’s shown a facility with comedy challenges (other than Snatch Game) by going her own way, which shows a kind of creative streak that I think Ru appreciates. But I don’t think he appreciates it as much as he is drawn to Myki’s comedic mind. And while I’d argue that on a looks level, Darlene’s drag is on average better than Myki’s, it’s not by any drastic margin. Ultimately, unless she can pull out the win next week, I’m not sure she has the report card to compete with Myki.

1. Myki Meeks (last week: 1)

Myki was the clear winner this week, the only one who really understood what a Karen was, killed the improv comedy and stayed committed to the character. Others did one or two of those things, but Myki knocked this challenge out of the park. The physical comedy of using the various buttons in the car alone was hilarious, not to mention her moves once she got out of the car. Her comic timing was really sharp, with a lot of very dry, funny, tossed-off lines. Darlene and Juicy were fun, but this was one of the most decisive wins of the season; Myki just nailed it.

With this third win, and Jane’s elimination, there is no question that Myki is our frontrunner. And at this point, I’m not even sure she has real competition for the crown. There’s just not enough time left for the status quo to change, and as we’ve noted in previous weeks, Ru is clearly most interested in what Myki is bringing to the table. Hers is the story of a queen who was mostly under the radar until Rate-a-Queen, when she got screwed by her cast and had to fight her way to safety, and then promptly never scored lower than high again. That’s a pretty solid narrative! It may not be among the best winner’s edits we’ve ever seen, but I think this season, among this top four, it’ll be more than enough.